BLM AK CESU - Scenario Planning for Energy and Resources Development
Effective decisions about research and monitoring programs (in academia, as well as in government) are most effective when based on plausible future social-ecological system expectations. The future of Arctic America is difficult to accurately predict, particularly in an era of intense global energy development pressures and rapid climate warming, but it will surely be characterized by highly consequential and unprecedented changes. Scenario planning is an effective tool in situations of high uncertainty and significant decision impacts. The North Slope Science Initiative (NSSI) will be partnering with the award recipient university personnel to use scenario planning to systematically assess of a range of energy and resource extraction development scenarios for the North Slope and adjacent seas through 2040 in a manner that will contribute to our mutual understanding of the potential future state of the social-ecological systems of the North Slope and adjacent seas.
Office: Bureau of Land Management
lparker@blm.gov
